Different Views With Nowhere to Go
2 min readWill we see a greater split form in the current 2 party system? What does that look like?
I think the structure of how we currently elect representatives, specifically the winner-takes-all nature of the electoral college, makes it improbable that a third major party or multiple major parties will arise. After the horrific events at The Capitol and a contemplation of Trumpism within the Republican party, there may be a general shift to the left amongst both parties that sees the republican party becoming somewhat more center to right (less far right) and shift of the democratic party to what is today considered far left and left of center. In the process voting out of office all the fucked-up Trump supporters who just really don’t get it.
I imagine the next election will see far more moderate republican candidates following Republican failures in 2020. But with that said, it’s clear the Trump base is still a very large and a strong faction within the Repbulican party, leaving it unclear how long-lasting Trump’s grip on the party will remain. It is very clear that people disagree on fundamental issues surrounding how to govern, which is why it is continually unfathomable that all the viewpoints would fit in two parties. Multiple parties likely won’t be formed though due to how ingrained the two parties are in the electoral process.
I believe constitutionally we would need to first change the electoral college to a national popular vote and likely change campaign finance regulations to decrease the power that PACs possess if we were to see more parties arise. You can’t really do much legislatively without the ability to elect a President from your party, and you can’t elect a President without a lot of national funding and wins in multiple states. I am also not entirely convinced a multiple party system would result in broader viewpoints being represented as other multiple party system governments often have difficulty forming a 50 percent majority if the majority party does not possess one outright. Still leaving one or two parties with most or all the power.
-Werblus